After living through previous crises, just 36% of investors have confidence in surviving the next one, according to Nationwide’s eighth annual Advisor Authority survey.
With signs of a recession flashing, including bank failures, persistent inflation, ongoing volatility, and the possibility of a government debt ceiling crisis, many nervous investors are wondering if we are approaching another financial crisis, according to Nationwide’s eighth annual Advisor Authority survey, powered by the Nationwide Retirement Institute.
Financial Crises Seems Inevitable
While four in 10 investors (39%) believe that the U.S. is already in a financial crisis and three in 10 (30%) believe the U.S. is approaching one, just 36% are confident that they will survive the next financial crisis despite living through many prior episodes.
In today’s environment, survey respondents say financial crises feel more like an inevitability than a possibility. One-fifth (20%) of investors expect to face two more financial crises in their lifetime, and nearly half (43%) expect to face three or more. In addition, many are worried that their finances will not survive the next market downturn, with nearly four in 10 (39%) investors indicating that after living through a previous crisis, they are more nervous about their ability to protect their finances.
Half of Millennial (58%) and Gen Z investors (49%) expect to live through at least three additional financial crises.
Mark Hackett, Nationwide’s Chief of Investment Research says:
With the echoes of the COVID recession and 2008 still fresh in people’s minds, it’s not surprising investors are bracing for the worst considering some of the news making headlines this year.
While it’s reasonable for investors to expect a recession in the year ahead, some of the pessimism we’re seeing among survey respondents may be overblown. Our economics team still predicts a moderate, shallow, and short recession at this point, and I think it’s premature to label today’s environment a crisis. However, it is a good time to revisit your plan with an advisor or financial professional, and we’re seeing more confidence among investors who do so.
Older Generations are Bracing for Impact
It is often said that experience is the best teacher. As investors across older generations rely on previous lessons learned, many are bracing in anticipation of an economic downturn. For example, 38% of Gen X and 29% of Baby Boomer investors expect a prolonged period of severe downturn marked by stagflation and instability. What’s more, they don’t expect this to be the last crisis they live through. Two-thirds (65%) of Gen X and almost half of Baby Boomers (48%) expect to live through at least two more financial crises in their lifetimes.
Eric Henderson, President of Nationwide Annuity said:
Older generations have experienced weathering more downturns, and it’s not surprising that has conditioned them to proceed with caution. They also have more on the line, with larger nest eggs vulnerable to market swings and less time to make up for savings lost in a downturn – which contributes to their fear.
Younger Generations are Concerned but Remain Positive
Half of Millennial (58%) and Gen Z investors (49%) expect to live through at least three additional financial crises. However, these investors remain optimistic about their retirement journey, with 56% of Gen Z and 50% of Millennials saying they still expect to retire on time, as planned.
Despite their long-term optimism, younger generations’ expectations for a proximate recession are relatively in line with their older counterparts. A large share of Gen Z (43%) and Millennial (26%) investors expect a prolonged period of severe market downturn marked by stagflation and instability.
Younger investors are growing up with the reality that they need to take ownership of their financial future because they can’t count on a pension plan like their parents. Savvy younger investors also recognize that they have the benefit of time on their side to recover from significant downturns or setbacks, which may be contributing to their more optimistic long-term outlook.
Having a Plan and an Advisor Improves Confidence
Across all generations, one thing is clear – it helps to have a plan. Nearly nine in 10 (88%) investors feel more confident that they can make the right investment decisions even during extreme financial crises by having a plan for their investments.
Investors with an advisor feel less nervous (31% vs. 46%) and more confident (40% vs. 26%) than those without an advisor in their ability to protect their finances in the event of another financial crisis after living through prior episodes.
Mirroring the sentiments of investors, advisors and financial professionals expect economic turmoil to continue, but are ready to assist their clients. Nearly half (42%) of all advisors expect the impending recession to be short and shallow that begins and eases gradually, while under a quarter (23%) expect a significant and prolonged market downturn marked by stagflation and instability.
Nearly two-thirds (65%) of advisors think market volatility will increase over the next twelve months, with inflation (33%), interest rates (27%), and an economic recession (24%) being the most common causes.
Advisors are working to prepare their clients, educating them on market cycles (43%), adopting strategies to protect their assets against market risk (43%) and listening to their needs and concerns (43%) to create a sense of control and security for clients during a market crisis.
It is clear that having a plan and a trusted advisor makes a difference. As advisors help their clients build a plan and consider protection solutions, they should also encourage them to remain focused on their long-term goals. Whether or not today’s environment turns out to become a full-blown financial crisis, advisors are in a great position to inject calm and guide clients through what’s to come as they have through turbulent moments in the past.
About The Harris Poll
The Harris Poll is one of the longest-running surveys in the U.S. tracking public opinion, motivations and social sentiment since 1963 that is now part of Harris Insights & Analytics, a global consulting and market research firm that delivers social intelligence for transformational times.
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